Obama to win US Presidential election

President Obama re-elected - just

Tonight President Obama will (I predict) win re-election against Governor Romney but he will have an up hill struggle to accommodate a hostile House of Representatives and tiny majority in the Senate in governing the country.

Obama has faced huge economic problems in his first term but deserves a second chance - witness his achievements:-

• death of Osama Bin Laden, 
• passed a Hate Crimes Bill
• been a champion of clean energy
• ended the War in Iraq
• started to wind down the War in Afghanistan
• expanded healthcare with Obamacare
• Ended Don't Ask, Don't Tell (DADT) in the armed services

Governor Romney will come very close but fail in his bid for the presidency

The Electoral College of voters may give Obama 303-235 but the narrow victory in the key battleground States demonstrates that he could have so easily lost it. Against a consistent more strategically alert Romney, Obama could have still lost but with the US economy improving at a snail's pace the voters will give him the benefit of the doubt.

[Of course, if you are reading this I am a completely wrong then it shows that Bloggers are as bad as everyone else at predicting elections.]

Here is my prediction:-

State	Obama	Romney
Alabama		9
Alaska		3
Arizona		11
Arkansas		6
California	55
Colorado	9
Connecticut	7
Delaware	3
DC	3
Florida		29
Georgia		16
Hawaii	4
Idaho		4
Illinois	20
Indiana		11
Iowa	6
Kansas		6
Kentucky		8
Louisiana		8
Maine	4
Maryland	10
Massachusetts	11
Michigan	16
Minnesota	10
Mississippi		6
Missouri		10
Montana		3
Nebraska		5
Nevada	6
New Hampshire	4
New Jersey	14
New Mexico	5
New York	29
North Carolina		15
North Dakota		3
Ohio	18
Oklahoma		7
Oregon	7
Pennsylvania	20
Rhote Island	4
South Carolina		9
South Dakota		3
Tennessee		11
Texas		38
Utah		6
Vermont	3
Virginia	13
Washington	12
West Virginia		5
Wisconsin	10
Wyoming		3
TOTAL	303	235
GRAND TOTAL		538
		270 to win

If Obama wins Virginia called around 7pm ET and Ohio around 7:30pm ET, then even if Florida goes for Romney at about 8pm ET, I would expect that the television networks will start to call for Obama around 9pm Eastern Time.

I sincerely hope though that Obama will reach across the aisle in his second term and build a new consensus with moderate Republicans to boost the US economy and deliver for the poor, sick and vulnerable.